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A Leverage Flush & a Trend Flip

Andrew Kamsky

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11 mins

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A Leverage Flush & a Trend Flip

Quick summary

  • Bitcoin dipped near 81000 then rebounded above 83000 amid broad altcoin weakness

  • Korean chip stock rout triggered about 803M of mostly long liquidations via crypto exchanges

  • Bitcoin showed a bullish 13 and 34 week EMA crossover but ETF flows stayed negative

  • Strategy added 250 BTC while spending far more repurchasing preferred shares than buying Bitcoin

Bitcoin traded at $83,650 on October 13, 2026, 33.69% below its all-time high of $126,156 and about 0.5% below the October 12 day of $84,066. BTC fell to just under $81,000 at 00:50 UTC, then recovered above $83,000. Across 30 screened large-cap alt tokens, only three were up over the last seven days, and two of those were yield-bearing tokens. Solana fell 10.09% over the same window.

A selloff in Korean chip stocks forced out roughly $800M of leveraged crypto bets, most of them on higher prices, while a slow weekly trend reading turned positive for the first time in about three and a half years. A leverage flush cleared Bitcoin’s longs, but a weekly trend flip still lacks spot buyers.

NVDA four-hour candlestick chart showing price rejected near the upper resistance of an ascending wedge, with rising support below and a potential downside correction toward the $180 area if support fails.

Leverage Flush: Korea’s Chip Rout Liquidated $803M in Crypto

The overnight drop started in Seoul, not in crypto, and travelled through contracts that let traders bet on stocks from crypto exchanges:

  • Korea set the tone: South Korea’s KOSPI fell more than 6% intraday and dropped below 6,000, its lowest level since late July, per CoinDesk. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix each lost about 8% on concerns over AI-related valuations and competition from Chinese memory-chip makers. Presto Research’s Min Jung told The Block the fall triggered a sell-side circuit breaker.

  • Bitcoin followed the selloff: BTC slid from about $84,200 to $81,382 by 9:20 p.m. ET on October 12, per The Block. It then touched just under $81,000 before climbing back above $83,000 while Korean stocks and Nasdaq futures stayed weak.

  • Stock bets on crypto venues carried the shock: About $803M of leveraged positions were liquidated across 10 exchanges over 24 hours, per CoinDesk, with longs accounting for $694M, or 86%. Contracts tracking memory-chip maker SanDisk saw more forced closures than XRP. Contracts on SK Hynix, Micron and the triple-leveraged chip fund SOXL also appeared.

  • The damage came in one burst: About $595M, nearly three quarters of the total, was liquidated in the final 12 hours, and Binance accounted for half of all liquidations. The Block’s earlier CoinGlass count was $771M, including $685.6M of longs. The two totals cover different windows.

  • Then the flow reversed: Of the $74M liquidated over the following four hours, $59M, or 79%, came from short sellers as BTC recovered above $83,000, per CoinDesk.

  • Oil undid the weekend relief: The October 12 Read tracked a rebound built on falling oil. Brent has since held near $106 after a three-day rally. WTI traded near $92.67, holding most of a sharp October 12 recovery from below $90, after fresh attacks in Saudi Arabia and continued threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping, per CoinDesk. The dollar index held near 102.50, its highest level since April 2025.

Interpretation: Liquidations are forced exits, not human decisions to exit. CoinDesk read the SanDisk losses as a sign of how much leverage on crypto exchanges now sits on chip stocks, which is how a selloff in Seoul reached Bitcoin within hours. The recovery above $83,000 came as short sellers were forced out. That leaves less long leverage in the market ahead of the October 14 U.S. inflation release, but it does not prove new demand. Paul Howard of market maker Wincent told CoinDesk he expects institutions to add protection through derivatives rather than cut their core holdings before the data.

Weekly Trend Flip: Bitcoin ETFs Still Sold $654.5M

A slow-moving trend reading turned positive on October 12, but the buyers who usually confirm such readings stayed cautious:

  • The weekly crossover: Prices over roughly the last three months are now running higher than prices over roughly the last eight months. Analysts' weekly charts are highlighting momentum turning positive. Bitcoin’s 13-week exponential moving average crossed above its 34-week average on October 12, the first such crossover in about three and a half years, per Crypto Briefing, citing Raymond James technical analyst David Cox.

  • History offers a mixed guide: Crypto Briefing notes that earlier crossovers of this kind were followed either by rallies or by long sideways stretches, depending on wider conditions. It adds that ETF flows and inflation data can override the chart. Coinjuice’s four-layer framework for reading charts starts with the weekly chart for the same reason: the slow timeframe sets the trend, while volume decides whether a move can be trusted.

  • Fund selling has not stopped: The 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs tracked by DefiLlama lost $654.5M across the seven days to October 12:

Bitcoin ETF Flows

ETF

7D flow (Oct 6–12)

IBIT

−$134.2M

FBTC

−$305.8M

ARKB

−$122.0M

GBTC

−$47.5M

Four-fund total

−$609.5M

All 12 funds

−$654.5M

Note: Figures run through October 12, 2026 and do not include October 13. For October 12, only IBIT had reported (−$65.4M). The other funds showed no flow at the last check and may still be revised. The window covers five trading days. Source: DefiLlama.

  • The prior week set the tone: SoSoValue counted $681.1M of net outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs across October 5 to 9, the worst week since late June, while spot Ether ETFs lost $542M, per The Block.

  • Strategy bought less Bitcoin than it repurchased in preferred shares: Strategy bought 250 BTC between October 5 and 11, funded by $21.0M of MSTR share sales and $0.5M of USD cash, per its press release. The same release shows $192.4M of STRC preferred-share repurchases, about nine times as much as the Bitcoin spend. Strategy reported that the 250 BTC cost about $21.5M at an average of $86,194, bringing total holdings to 848,250 BTC at an average cost of $75,444. Coinjuice’s research on whether Bitcoin digital credit can create a permanent price cap explains why STRC raises money that can buy Bitcoin.

  • Ether lagged Bitcoin: ETH fell 6.58% over seven days against Bitcoin’s 2.46%, while ETH/BTC stood at 0.03027.

Interpretation: The largest corporate holder also directed most of its weekly capital to its own preferred shares rather than to Bitcoin. A leverage flush cleared Bitcoin’s longs, but a weekly trend flip still lacks spot buyers.

Coinjuice Lens: Trading Psychology

Forced selling between October 12 and 13 fell on traders whose positions depended on borrowed money, while holders without leverage sat through a round trip of about 3% to 4%. Coinjuice’s research on why avoiding liquidation beats timing the top finds that most crypto losses come from forced exits rather than poor asset selection. The article also finds that the price at which a position closes by force is the most important number in a portfolio. For a holder without leverage, that number is zero. A leverage flush cleared Bitcoin’s longs, but a weekly trend flip still lacks spot buyers.

Readers looking to trade through a leverage flush without a liquidation price can start with the Coinjuice ebook, Bitcoin Trading Without Leverage, or go deeper with a Coinjuice subscription, where we start and complete trades and you will learn to snipe them independently in our private group.

News Behind Today’s Read

Continue the read: Oct. 12 · Oct. 10 · Oct. 9

Market Snapshot

Asset

Price

Distance from ATH / reference

BTC

$83,650

33.69% below ATH ($126,156)

ETH

$2,532

48.81% below ATH ($4,946)

ETH/BTC

0.03027

Spot ratio, DefiLlama

DeFi TVL

$91.9B

Base TVL, DefiLlama

Stablecoins

$304.0B

Market cap, DefiLlama

Data timing and sources:

BTC, ETH, ETH/BTC, DeFi TVL, stablecoin market cap and the token screen are as of 06:40 UTC, October 13, 2026, from DefiLlama, and figures have moved since. DeFi TVL is base TVL only and excludes staking, borrowed assets and exchange reserves. The token screen includes wrapped duplicates. ETF flows are DefiLlama-tracked through October 12 and exclude October 13, and the October 12 row is incomplete. Liquidation figures come from CoinDesk, and from CoinGlass via The Block. They cover different windows and typically understate the full total. Strategy figures are from the company’s October 12 press release. The October 12 BTC reference is the 04:59 UTC snapshot, not the daily close.

This article was developed with the support of artificial intelligence tools as part of Coinjuice’s editorial process and reviewed by our editorial team before publication.

Disclaimer

The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

FAQ

Why did Bitcoin fall below $81,000 on October 13, 2026?

Bitcoin fell to just under $81,000 at 00:50 UTC on October 13, 2026, as South Korea’s KOSPI dropped more than 6% on a chip-stock selloff, according to CoinDesk. About $803M of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated over 24 hours, 86% of them bets on higher prices, including contracts tracking chip stocks such as SanDisk. BTC then recovered above $83,000 as short sellers were forced out, and traded at $83,650 at 06:40 UTC.

What is Bitcoin’s 13/34-week EMA crossover?

It occurs when Bitcoin’s 13-week exponential moving average, which tracks roughly a quarter of price action, rises above its 34-week average. The crossover happened on October 12, 2026, the first in about three and a half years, according to Crypto Briefing citing Raymond James analyst David Cox. Earlier crossovers were followed by either rallies or long sideways periods, and ETF flows and inflation data can override the chart.

How much did Bitcoin ETFs lose in the week to October 12, 2026?

The 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs tracked by DefiLlama recorded −$654.5M across October 6 to 12, 2026, with FBTC accounting for −$305.8M. The figure excludes October 13, and only IBIT had reported for October 12, so the total may change. SoSoValue counted $681.1M of outflows across October 5 to 9, the worst week since late June.

When is the next U.S. inflation release after October 13, 2026?

The Bureau of Labor Statistics schedules September CPI for October 14, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET. PPI follows on October 15 and import and export prices on October 16. Higher oil prices raise inflation risk, which feeds Federal Reserve rate expectations and, through them, appetite for assets such as Bitcoin.

Disclaimer

The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Written by

Andrew Kamsky

Andrew Kamsky is a Bitcoin analyst. He spent a decade in traditional finance across a Big Four firm and a listed fintech bank before going deep on Bitcoin full-time.

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