$PUMP Price: €0.00267 | Daily & 3-Day timeframe perspective

This analysis outlines a probability-based technical setup for $PUMP following a corrective phase, with 3-day RSI momentum crossing above 50. The focus is on identifying where risk shifted in favor of the buyer and where logical exits exist.

Pump.fun Snapshot | Source: coinmarket cap

Starting Point: Entries Below Base

Price spent several months consolidating around three well-defined bases before ultimately breaking down from the highest base level. This breakdown in price triggered a deeper capitulation price move from the €0.00418–€0.00446 base zone, with price bottoming roughly 67% below that base in late December 2025. My lowest entry was taken near -57% below the strong base.

At these low levels, downside risk begins to lessen for the buyer as selling pressure shows signs of exhaustion illustrated in the daily RSI chart below currently above 50.

PUMP/EUR Daily timeframe with RSI above 50

Breakdown of Entries 1-3

Other separate entries taken at different stages of the decline:

• Entry 1: -10% below safe base (An impulsive entry anticipating a pattern breakout)

• Entry 2: -21% below safe base

• Entry 3: -41% below safe base

Pump.fun Daily Structure & Growth Path

The daily chart above highlights what might be the start of a clean recovery structure forming after the slow panic low end of December 2025. Since then, price has transitioned from lower lows into higher lows and compressing beneath prior resistance.

A projected growth path points toward resistance around the €0.00418–€0.00446 zone, where prior market memory exists.

3-Day RSI Suggest Momentum Shift

The 3-day RSI provides a credible timing signal on $PUMP.

Over months, starting October 2025, the $PUMP 3-day RSI remained below 50 (seen below), indicating weakening sentiment /momentum. During that period, price struggled to sustain upside.

That has now changed toward the end of January 2026 as per the RSI 50 framework.

PUMP/EUR Daily timeframe with RSI above 50

As of late January 2026, the 3-day RSI has crossed above 50 (≈54), a meaningful threshold.

When RSI holds above 50 on higher timeframes, momentum becomes constructive, increasing the probability of higher prices until momentum shows signs of exhaustion.

This does not guarantee higher prices, but it materially increases the probability that price attempts to resolve the unfinished retracement at “safe base 3.” For a deeper explanation of this framework, refer to How to Trade Without Leverage, our 1-hour 30-minute ebook outlining the core techniques behind this approach.

$PUMP vs SOL Relative Context

Against SOL, $PUMP is also in bullish posture, with RSI above 50, stabilized after a prolonged underperformance phase. PUMP is no longer underperforming as severely versus SOL. With structure also resolving prior bases open since December 2025.

PUMP/SOL Daily timeframe with RSI above 50

If $PUMP Fails to Reach €0.004

As price approaches key resistance, outcomes are predefined to avoid emotional decision-making. Each scenario is planned in advance based on how price interacts with the €0.004 zone.

• Rejection at €0.004: Price tests the resistance zone and reverses, resolving the trade with all positions closed in profit.

• Breakout in price above €0.004: Price clears resistance with follow-through, all staggered sells execute in profit. Wait for structure to play out.

• Failure to Reach €0.004: If momentum stalls below resistance, the trade remains open or sell limits might need to be adjusted lower to lock in partial profits.

• Momentum Deterioration: If RSI or price structure weakens materially, exposure is reduced regardless of whether resistance is reached.

Conclusion

Versus EUR sell limits are staged across resistance:

• €0.00418

• €0.00422

• €0.00446

This staggered, small position-sized approach avoids the need to call a top, allowing price to work through resistance naturally while closing trades entered weeks ago.

This is a probability trade, not a narrative trade and the framework remains repeatable.

To keep track of these trades:

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