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CLARITY Act Rejection & Short-Term Holders' Profit Streak

Andrew Kamsky

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5 mins

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CLARITY Act Rejection & a Quiet Profitability Streak

Quick summary

  • Bitcoin trades around $75,822, down 3.31%, pressured by CLARITY Act failure and rising yields

  • US Senate rejected the CLARITY Act 49–50 as 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.041 percent

  • Bitcoin sits below its 20-day moving average, entering historically weak late-September trading window

  • Short-term holders show a month-long profit streak while Fear and Greed sentiment cools from 81 to 67

Bitcoin is trading near $75,822, 40% below its all-time high of $126,155.58, after a completed daily candle that closed down 3.31%. Today regulatory and bond-yield pressure are hitting price while holder profitability persists.

CLARITY Act Fails: 10-Year Yield Hits 5.04%

The Senate's CLARITY Act failed to advance in a 49–50 vote, ten short of the sixty needed. The same session saw the US 10-year yield climb to 5.041%, its highest level since 2007, adding a second and unrelated source of pressure on risk assets.

  • Vote outcome: The bill fell short of the sixty-vote threshold, leaving crypto market-structure legislation without a near-term path forward.

  • Bond-yield pressure: A 10-year yield at 5.041% raises the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, Bitcoin included.

  • Compounding effect: Neither factor alone explains Bitcoin's close falling 3.31% on the day.

  • Technical context: Price sits below its 20-day average of $78,290.55 heading into the historically weakest stretch of Bitcoin's September seasonal pattern, days 19 to 21, which have averaged a 1.98% loss across the past 13 years. A reclaim and hold above the 20-day average would be the first sign the setback is fading; a crack lower would align with, not defy, the seasonal trend.

Short-Term Holders Post Longest Profit Streak of 2026

Cointelegraph reporting on CryptoQuant data confirms short-term holders have remained in partial profit since August 16, the longest consecutive in-profit stretch of 2026. This sits in tension with a Fear & Greed reading that slipped from 81 to 67 over the same window.

  • Profitability streak: A month of short-term holder profitability during a drawdown is an unusual and confirmed data point, sourced to CryptoQuant via Cointelegraph rather than a DefiLlama-tracked metric.

  • Sentiment divergence: A Fear & Greed drop from 81 to 67 shows cooling enthusiasm, not fear, which is a milder shift than the price action alone suggests.

  • What it is not: The streak is an on-chain read, but it is one third-party data point, not confirmation of a structural shift. Live MVRV, SOPR, and exchange-balance data were not retrieved in this cycle.

  • The open question: Whether buyers defend the current range after the regulatory and bond-yield shock will say more than either indicator alone.

Coinjuice Lens: Bitcoin Keeps Moving

Yesterday’s coverage identified sixty votes as the hurdle for the CLARITY Act. It fell short. Washington’s work on clearer crypto rules continues.

So does Bitcoin.

Before facing Goliath, David chose the sling he knew how to use. There is a modest parallel here: Bitcoin keeps doing what it was built to do. The network adds a block roughly every ten minutes, follows a supply limit of 21 million coins, and lets people send bitcoin directly to one another.

Hold your own private keys, and you can control your bitcoin without a bank holding it for you, the idea behind what Strategy describes as “bearer-like control.”

Clearer laws still matter for the businesses and people using Bitcoin. But the network does not need this bill to pass before it can process the next transaction.

Bitcoin travels light.

Vintage engraving of David leaving behind Saul's armor, lying discarded in the foreground, and walking toward Goliath with only his sling.

A weak daily close and a resilient on-chain base can coexist without either one predicting where the other goes next. 

Readers looking to navigate range-bound conditions like this can start with the Coinjuice ebook, Bitcoin Trading Without Leverage, or go deeper with a Coinjuice subscription, currently 30% off the annual plan, where we start and complete trades and you will learn to snipe them independently.

News Behind Today's Read

Market Snapshot

Asset

Price

Distance from ATH

BTC

$75,822

39.9% below ATH ($126,155.58)

ETH

$2,403

51.6% below ATH

DeFi TVL

$108.2B

Global TVL, DefiLlama

This article was developed with the support of artificial intelligence tools as part of Coinjuice's editorial process and reviewed by our editorial team before publication.

FAQ

Does the CLARITY Act failure change Bitcoin's regulatory outlook?

Not immediately. The vote falling short of sixty means the bill has no near-term path, but it does not reverse existing rules or introduce new restrictions. The practical effect is continued uncertainty rather than a fresh regulatory shift, which is part of why bond yields, not the vote itself, did more of the work in today's price move.

What does the short-term holder profitability streak mean?

It means short-term holders have remained above their cost basis since August 16, per CryptoQuant data reported by Cointelegraph, the longest such stretch of 2026. That is a confirmed, genuine data point, though it is a single third-party on-chain read rather than a DefiLlama-tracked metric, so it should inform a broader view rather than stand alone. Readers building a fuller framework for reading conditions like this can start with the Coinjuice ebook, Bitcoin Trading Without Leverage.

Why did the CLARITY Act fail to advance in the U.S. Senate and what does that mean for crypto regulation?

The CLARITY Act failed in a 49–50 vote, missing the 60-vote threshold needed to advance. As a result, crypto market-structure legislation currently has no near-term path forward.

How are rising U.S. 10-year Treasury yields affecting Bitcoin?

The U.S. 10-year yield climbed to 5.041%, its highest level since 2007, which raises the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin and adds pressure on risk assets.

Disclaimer

The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Written by

Andrew Kamsky

Andrew Kamsky is a Bitcoin analyst. He spent a decade in traditional finance across a Big Four firm and a listed fintech bank before going deep on Bitcoin full-time.

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