Since April 2021, Nvidia has outperformed Bitcoin by over 1,200%. 

For anyone holding NVDA through the AI boom, it's been one of the best trades of the cycle. But a chart worth paying close attention to right now is the NVDA/BTC weekly ratio and it's flashing a signal that deserves serious attention.

NVDA/BTC Monthly Timeframe 

The NVDA/BTC ratio reflects a structural shift that began years before the AI boom and resolved with a decisive breakout in November 2022. The NVDA/BTC chart above illustrates: 

• Long-Term Structure: A descending wedge formed from 2017, defined by persistent lower highs and lower lows converging to an apex.

• November 2022 Breakout: Following ChatGPT’s launch, November 30, 2022, Nvidia broke out decisively, ending the multi-year wedge.

• Structural Advantage: The AI narrative gave Nvidia sustained relative strength over Bitcoin during the period April 2021- February 2026.

NVDA/BTC at Major Resistance: Breakout or Bitcoin Rotation?

NVDA/BTC Daily timeframe

Fast forward to February 2026, and the ratio is now hitting resistance for the third time since the breakout, around 180% above the ChatGPT launch levels.

This is a classic decision zone. Either Nvidia breaks out to new highs against Bitcoin, a move that could technically extend another 800%+ if the channel projection plays out, or it gets rejected, and liquidity starts rotating back toward Bitcoin.

If you want a straightforward way to read charts, check out this ebook. In about 90 minutes, you’ll understand exactly when to enter and exit, clean and simple.